Fannie Mae Economists Predict Slow Housing Market in 2025

A December report forecasts a continued “lock-in effect” due to high mortgage rates and a low production of multifamily housing.

1 minute read

December 18, 2024, 8:00 AM PST

By Diana Ionescu @aworkoffiction


View of top of high-rise apartment building under construction with red and white cranes

Jonathan Stutz / Adobe Stock

A press release from Fannie Mae predicts that the “lock-in effect” in the housing market will continue into 2025, “with existing home sales forecast to move only slightly upward from recent multi-decade lows, according to the December 2024 commentary from the Fannie Mae (FNMA/OTCQB) Economic and Strategic Research (ESR) Group.”

Fannie Mae economists had five key predictions for the upcoming year: average mortgage rates will decline, but remain above 6 percent; existing home sales will remain low; new home sales will offer some options to prospective homebuyers — “where they can be built;” home price growth will slow; and multifamily housing “will remain in a holding pattern,” unwelcome news for households seeking smaller, more affordable housing types.

“While we think conditions on a national basis will remain challenging, we’re seeing meaningful regional differences in market conditions, and the homebuying experience — as the adage goes — will continue to be a local one,” said Mark Palim, Fannie Mae Senior Vice President and Chief Economist.

Monday, December 16, 2024 in Fannie Mae Foundation

portrait of professional woman

I love the variety of courses, many practical, and all richly illustrated. They have inspired many ideas that I've applied in practice, and in my own teaching. Mary G., Urban Planner

I love the variety of courses, many practical, and all richly illustrated. They have inspired many ideas that I've applied in practice, and in my own teaching.

Mary G., Urban Planner

Get top-rated, practical training

Close-up of park ranger in green jacket and khaki hat looking out at Bryce Canyon National Park red rock formations.

National Parks Layoffs Will Cause Communities to Lose Billions

Thousands of essential park workers were laid off this week, just before the busy spring break season.

February 18, 2025 - National Parks Traveler

Paved walking path next to canal in The Woodlands, Texas with office buildings in background.

Retro-silient?: America’s First “Eco-burb,” The Woodlands Turns 50

A master-planned community north of Houston offers lessons on green infrastructure and resilient design, but falls short of its founder’s lofty affordability and walkability goals.

February 19, 2025 - Greg Flisram

Small rural USPS post office in manufactured one-story grey building with American flag in front.

Delivering for America Plan Will Downgrade Mail Service in at Least 49.5 Percent of Zip Codes

Republican and Democrat lawmakers criticize the plan for its disproportionate negative impact on rural communities.

February 12, 2025 - Cowboy State Daily

Chicago

Test News Post 1

This is a summary

April 8 - 2TheAdvocate.com

test alt text

Test News Headline 46

Test for the image on the front page.

March 5 - Cleantech blog

Military humvee driving through gate at Fort Indiantown Gap Natl Guard training center in Pennsylvania surrounded by winter trees and dead leaves.

Balancing Bombs and Butterflies: How the National Guard Protects a Rare Species

The National Guard at Fort Indiantown Gap uses GIS technology and land management strategies to balance military training with conservation efforts, ensuring the survival of the rare eastern regal fritillary butterfly.

February 24 - Esri Blog