Scenario Planners Predicted The New Orleans Disaster

Scenario planning can work and save lives. But only if we heed the warnings.

1 minute read

December 2, 2005, 5:00 AM PST

By Chris Steins @planetizen


"Turns out there's a huge difference between anticipating disaster and actually being prepared for it. Scenario planning is not a waste; computer models can now game the behavior of millions of variables and render nuanced predictions of everything from bioterror attacks to massive earthquakes. Too bad that when it came to a hurricane like Katrina, political expediency and shortsightedness prevented adequate preparation. Everyone knew what was coming; they just failed to act on it."

Wednesday, November 30, 2005 in Wired Magazine

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