From 'Lifeline' to Stabilization

The nation is in a mortgage crisis. More than one out of every 14 mortgages "are delinquent as of the end of September -- a 30-year high." According to the Federal Reserve, "another 2 million families could face foreclosure in the next 2 years." In an effort to stem this tide, Treasury Secretary Henry Paulson this week announced "Project Lifeline," a voluntary private sector initiative. Six major mortgage lenders have agreed to send letters "to truant borrowers detailing how they can 'pause' the foreclosure process for 30 days while the bank evaluates whether they're eligible to modify their loan on better terms." Yet like other Bush administration "solutions" to the economic crisis, this one is nothing more than a short-term "voluntary breather" and would perhaps be more aptly called "Project Band-Aid." "Homeowners at risk of foreclosure are floating 50 feet from shore while Project Lifeline throws them a 30-foot rope," said Sen. Dick Durbin (D-IL). "We need a plan that goes further."

The current mortgage crisis needs more than this voluntary, markets-based approach. As David M. Abromowitz and Andrew Jakabovics at the Center for American Progress note, "Markets will do their part, but not if they are frozen by a freefall in home prices that sucks in otherwise responsible homeowners. Homes are not just another commodity; when widespread foreclosures drive whole neighborhoods into rapid decline." During the 30-day pause, banks will presumably modify the loans to make them more affordable in the long term. But if history is any guide, this outcome is unlikely. Lenders did very few loan modifications in 2007, at the height of the foreclosure crisis. Moody's, the rating agency, notes that at the end of September, just 3.5 percent of loans reset in 2007 had been modified. "What they actually will do is anybody's guess," The New York Times concludes about Bush's voluntary program.

American Progress has proposed two plans to restore equilibrium to the housing market. First is the SAFE loan program, which "is modeled after the New Deal's successful Home Owners' Loan Corporation" but uses existing government resources to "purchase pools of loans at current value and refinance those loans that are in default or have negative equity into fully amortizing, fixed-rate loans based on the current value of the property." Second is the Great American Dream Neighborhood Stabilization, or GARDNS, Fund, which would help homeowners in low- and middle-income neighborhoods by providing "money to local housing authorities and non-profit organizations to buy foreclosed properties from banks and return them to productive use as affordable housing."